6 Jul · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1520
FormWWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Warpas
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1408
FormLWLWW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)