6 Jul · 20:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1411
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Skorski
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1320
FormLWLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)