6 Jul · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1486
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kostepski
RK
🇵🇱Robert Kostepski
ELO 1537
FormWLLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kostepski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H19-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-18)