6 Jul · 21:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1493
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1601
FormLWLWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H89-70
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (89-70)