6 Jul · 21:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1424
FormWLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Fabis
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1330
FormLWLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H29-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)