6 Jul · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1557
FormLLLWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Warzecha
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1296
FormLWLLW
76%
24%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+261
H2H29-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+261)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-9)