6 Jul · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1525
FormWWWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Warpas
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1317
FormWLLWL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~77 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+208
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)