6 Jul · 21:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1357
FormWLLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1549
FormWLWLL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+192
H2H46-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-2)