6 Jul · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1491
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1549
FormWLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)