6 Jul · 23:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1606
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pruszkowski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1606
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H82-79
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.