6 Jul · 23:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1489
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Schaniel
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1481
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H101-70
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.