7 Jul · 00:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1570
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Warzecha
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1560
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.