7 Jul · 00:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1472
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1609
FormWLLLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+137
H2H85-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (85-73)