7 Jul · 02:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1198
FormLLLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Machelski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1433
FormLLWWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+235
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+235)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)