7 Jul · 01:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RK
🇵🇱Robert Kostepski
ELO 1565
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1596
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H26-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.