7 Jul · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1578
FormWWWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Warzecha
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1374
FormWWLLW
71%
29%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+204
H2H42-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-6)