7 Jul · 02:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1439
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fabis
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1359
FormWLWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H10-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)