7 Jul · 04:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RK
🇵🇱Robert Kostepski
ELO 1586
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kostepski
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1498
FormLWWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Kostepski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H33-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-18)