7 Jul · 04:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1432
FormLWLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1562
FormWWLWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H27-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-8)