7 Jul · 04:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1490
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1576
FormLLWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H107-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (107-57)