7 Jul · 06:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1411
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1446
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.