7 Jul · 06:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇵🇱Robert Kostepski
ELO 1583
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kostepski
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1498
FormWWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kostepski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H20-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-18)