7 Jul · 05:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1495
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1498
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H102-70
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.