7 Jul · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1447
FormLWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Vincenec
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1295
FormLLWLL
66%
34%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)