7 Jul · 06:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JB
🇵🇱Josef Braun
ELO 1736
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Braun
SK
🇵🇱Szymon Kolasa
ELO 1734
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Braun
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H2-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.