7 Jul · 07:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1488
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1577
FormWLLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H102-65
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (102-65)