7 Jul · 09:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1495
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sobel
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1403
FormLLWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)