7 Jul · 08:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1333
FormLWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1447
FormLWWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H14-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-3)