7 Jul · 10:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1632
FormWLWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Poliniewicz
AG
🇵🇱Artur Gromek
ELO 1499
FormWLWLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)