7 Jul · 11:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1666
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sporek
SS
🇵🇱Szymon Sporek
ELO 1688
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sporek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.