7 Jul · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1454
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1507
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 92% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)