7 Jul · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1472
FormLLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Adamus
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1312
FormLLWLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~79 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)