7 Jul · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1329
FormWWWLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1600
FormWWWWL
23%
77%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~77 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+271
H2H41-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+271)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-13)