7 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1321
FormLWLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1603
FormWWWWW
22%
78%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~76 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+282
H2H37-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+282)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-16)