7 Jul · 13:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1401
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sobel
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1489
FormLLWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)