7 Jul · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1231
FormLLLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1481
FormLLWLW
25%
75%
🌟Krezel rarely covers set handicap as underdog 21% (19)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+250
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+250)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)