7 Jul · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1500
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Schaniel
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1450
FormWWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H17-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-4)