7 Jul · 18:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1230
FormWLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sikon
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1324
FormLWLWL
40%
60%
🌟Szymanski rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Sikon
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)