7 Jul · 17:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Szymon Sporek
ELO 1688
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sporek
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kwapis
ELO 1588
FormWWLWL
61%
39%
🌟Kwapis rarely covers set handicap as underdog 25% (16)
Fair odds · Sporek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)