7 Jul · 20:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kwapis
ELO 1588
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kwapis
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jadam
ELO 1563
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kwapis
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.