7 Jul · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1485
FormWLWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Adamus
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1319
FormLLLWW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~79 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)