7 Jul · 16:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1574
FormWLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wisniewski
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kurowski
ELO 1480
FormLWLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)