7 Jul · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1324
FormLWLLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Gajda
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1543
FormLLWWL
27%
73%
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+219
H2H23-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+219)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-6)