7 Jul · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1319
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lukaszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1359
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H12-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+40)