7 Jul · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1504
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Marud
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1431
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H17-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)