7 Jul · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1476
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gajda
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1543
FormLLWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)