7 Jul · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1526
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1598
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~82 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)