7 Jul · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1334
FormWWLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1592
FormLLWWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~78 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+258
H2H42-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+258)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-13)