8 Jul · 01:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jadam
ELO 1554
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1563
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.