7 Jul · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1493
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pytlas
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1579
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)